Strategy #270
Spread Tightening Scalp
Entry Logic
- Exact entry trigger: The bid-ask spread, which was previously wide, suddenly tightens.
- Confirmation requirements: The Level 2 order book shows an increase in liquidity on both the bid and ask side.
- Timeframe required: 1-minute or tick chart.
- Location context: Near a key support or resistance level.
- Market condition requirement: Illiquid or volatile market that is transitioning to a more liquid state.
Exit Logic
- Profit target(s): 5-10 cents above the entry price.
- Scaling out rules: No scaling out.
- Trailing stop rules: No trailing stop.
- Exit on signal failure: If the price does not move in the intended direction within 1 minute, exit the trade.
- Exit on opposite signal: If the spread widens again, exit the trade.
- Exit on time expiration: Exit the trade after 3 minutes, regardless of the outcome.
- Exit on momentum loss: If the volume dries up, exit the trade.
Stop Loss Structure
- Hard stop location: 2 cents below the entry price.
- Soft stop rules: None.
- Maximum dollar loss per trade: $50.
- Maximum percent loss per trade: 0.5% of the account.
- Structural stop placement: Below the low of the entry candle.
Risk Management Framework
- Risk per trade: 0.25% of the account.
- Maximum daily loss limit: 3 consecutive losing trades.
- Maximum weekly loss limit: 5% of the account.
- Maximum drawdown allowed: 10% of the account.
- Risk-reward ratio requirement: 2:1.
Position Sizing Model
- Recommended sizing approach: Fixed share size.
- Volatility-based adjustment: N/A.
- Conviction-based sizing (A+/A/B setup): N/A.
- Scaling in rules: No scaling in.
- Scaling out rules: No scaling out.
Trade Filtering
- Market conditions to avoid: Liquid and stable markets.
- Specific setups required: A clear tightening of the bid-ask spread.
- Stock/instrument requirements: Stocks that are typically illiquid but are experiencing a surge in interest.
- Time of day restrictions: N/A.
- Chop/news avoidance rules: Avoid trading around major news events.
Context Framework
- Trend direction assessment: N/A.
- VWAP relationship: N/A.
- Moving average relationship: N/A.
- Range location: N/A.
- Higher timeframe alignment: N/A.
Trade Management Rules
- When to move stop to breakeven: After the price has moved 5 cents in your favor.
- When to scale out: No scaling out.
- When to add size: No adding size.
- How to handle fast moves vs slow moves: In fast moves, take profits quickly. In slow moves, be patient and let the trade work.
Time Rules
- Optimal trading window: N/A.
- Times to avoid: N/A.
- Session-specific notes: This strategy can be used at any time of the day.
Setup Classification
- A+ setup criteria: All entry criteria are met.
- A setup criteria: N/A.
- B setup criteria: N/A.
- C setup criteria: The spread does not tighten significantly.
Market Selection Criteria
- Instrument requirements: Stocks with a daily volume of over 1 million shares.
- Volume/liquidity requirements: The stock must have a wide bid-ask spread that is starting to tighten.
- Volatility requirements: The stock must have a daily range of at least $1.
Statistical Edge Metrics
- Expected win rate: 65%.
- Average win size: $0.10.
- Average loss size: $0.05.
- Profit factor: 1.3.
- Expectancy per trade: $0.01.
Failure Conditions
- Market conditions where strategy fails: Liquid and stable markets.
- Specific scenarios to avoid: Trading stocks with a consistently tight spread.
Psychological Rules
- Key mental discipline requirements: The ability to identify subtle changes in market dynamics.
Advanced Components
- Market regime detection: N/A.
- Volatility/liquidity filters: N/A.
- Correlation filters: N/A.
- Multi-timeframe alignment: N/A.
Location
- Where this setup is strongest: In illiquid stocks that are gaining attention.
- Where this setup is weakest: In highly liquid stocks.
- Location changes outcome: N/A.