Strategy #272
Sector Momentum Scalp
Entry Logic
- Exact entry trigger: A leading stock in a hot sector breaks out to a new high.
- Confirmation requirements: Other stocks in the same sector are also moving in the same direction.
- Timeframe required: 5-minute chart.
- Location context: The sector is showing strong relative strength.
- Market condition requirement: A trending market with clear sector rotation.
Exit Logic
- Profit target(s): 20-30 cents above the entry price.
- Scaling out rules: No scaling out.
- Trailing stop rules: No trailing stop.
- Exit on signal failure: If the stock does not continue to move in the intended direction, exit the trade.
- Exit on opposite signal: If the sector starts to reverse, exit the trade.
- Exit on time expiration: Exit the trade after 30 minutes, regardless of the outcome.
- Exit on momentum loss: If the volume dries up, exit the trade.
Stop Loss Structure
- Hard stop location: 10 cents below the entry price.
- Soft stop rules: None.
- Maximum dollar loss per trade: $100.
- Maximum percent loss per trade: 1% of the account.
- Structural stop placement: Below the breakout level.
Risk Management Framework
- Risk per trade: 0.5% of the account.
- Maximum daily loss limit: 2 consecutive losing trades.
- Maximum weekly loss limit: 3% of the account.
- Maximum drawdown allowed: 5% of the account.
- Risk-reward ratio requirement: 2:1.
Position Sizing Model
- Recommended sizing approach: Fixed share size.
- Volatility-based adjustment: N/A.
- Conviction-based sizing (A+/A/B setup): N/A.
- Scaling in rules: No scaling in.
- Scaling out rules: No scaling out.
Trade Filtering
- Market conditions to avoid: A market with no clear sector leadership.
- Specific setups required: A strong sector with a clear leader.
- Stock/instrument requirements: The leading stock in a hot sector.
- Time of day restrictions: Avoid trading during the midday lull.
- Chop/news avoidance rules: Avoid trading around major news events.
Context Framework
- Trend direction assessment: Trade in the direction of the sector trend.
- VWAP relationship: Enter long trades above VWAP.
- Moving average relationship: The 9 EMA should be above the 20 EMA.
- Range location: Enter trades at the breakout of a consolidation pattern.
- Higher timeframe alignment: The daily chart of the sector should be in an uptrend.
Trade Management Rules
- When to move stop to breakeven: After the price has moved 15 cents in your favor.
- When to scale out: No scaling out.
- When to add size: No adding size.
- How to handle fast moves vs slow moves: In fast moves, take profits at pre-defined targets. In slow moves, be patient and let the trade work.
Time Rules
- Optimal trading window: 9:30 AM - 11:00 AM EST.
- Times to avoid: 12:00 PM - 2:00 PM EST.
- Session-specific notes: The strategy works best during the morning session when sector themes are established.
Setup Classification
- A+ setup criteria: All entry criteria are met, and the sector is the strongest in the market.
- A setup criteria: All entry criteria are met, but the sector is not the strongest in the market.
- B setup criteria: Only some of the entry criteria are met.
- C setup criteria: None of the entry criteria are met.
Market Selection Criteria
- Instrument requirements: The leading stock in a hot sector.
- Volume/liquidity requirements: The stock must have a daily volume of over 5 million shares.
- Volatility requirements: The stock must have a daily range of at least $1.
Statistical Edge Metrics
- Expected win rate: 55%.
- Average win size: $0.30.
- Average loss size: $0.15.
- Profit factor: 1.1.
- Expectancy per trade: $0.03.
Failure Conditions
- Market conditions where strategy fails: A market with no clear sector rotation.
- Specific scenarios to avoid: Chasing a stock that has already made a large move.
Psychological Rules
- Key mental discipline requirements: The ability to identify and focus on the strongest sectors.
Advanced Components
- Market regime detection: N/A.
- Volatility/liquidity filters: N/A.
- Correlation filters: N/A.
- Multi-timeframe alignment: The daily and weekly charts of the sector should be aligned.
Location
- Where this setup is strongest: In a market with strong sector rotation.
- Where this setup is weakest: In a market with no clear themes.
- Location changes outcome: N/A.