Ch. 7Strategy #292

Strategy #292

Scalp at Pre-Market Levels

Entry Logic

  • Exact entry trigger: The price bounces off a key pre-market support or resistance level.
  • Confirmation requirements: A bullish or bearish candlestick pattern forms at the level.
  • Timeframe required: 5-minute chart.
  • Location context: N/A.
  • Market condition requirement: Any market condition.

Exit Logic

  • Profit target(s): 20-30 cents away from the level.
  • Scaling out rules: No scaling out.
  • Trailing stop rules: No trailing stop.
  • Exit on signal failure: If the price breaks through the level, exit the trade.
  • Exit on opposite signal: N/A.
  • Exit on time expiration: Exit the trade after 30 minutes, regardless of the outcome.
  • Exit on momentum loss: If the volume dries up, exit the trade.

Stop Loss Structure

  • Hard stop location: 10 cents on the other side of the level.
  • Soft stop rules: None.
  • Maximum dollar loss per trade: $100.
  • Maximum percent loss per trade: 1% of the account.
  • Structural stop placement: On the other side of the level.

Risk Management Framework

  • Risk per trade: 0.5% of the account.
  • Maximum daily loss limit: 2 consecutive losing trades.
  • Maximum weekly loss limit: 3% of the account.
  • Maximum drawdown allowed: 5% of the account.
  • Risk-reward ratio requirement: 2:1.

Position Sizing Model

  • Recommended sizing approach: Fixed share size.
  • Volatility-based adjustment: N/A.
  • Conviction-based sizing (A+/A/B setup): N/A.
  • Scaling in rules: No scaling in.
  • Scaling out rules: No scaling out.

Trade Filtering

  • Market conditions to avoid: N/A.
  • Specific setups required: A stock reacting to a key pre-market level.
  • Stock/instrument requirements: Any stock.
  • Time of day restrictions: N/A.
  • Chop/news avoidance rules: Avoid trading around major news events.

Context Framework

  • Trend direction assessment: N/A.
  • VWAP relationship: N/A.
  • Moving average relationship: N/A.
  • Range location: N/A.
  • Higher timeframe alignment: N/A.

Trade Management Rules

  • When to move stop to breakeven: After the price has moved 15 cents in your favor.
  • When to scale out: No scaling out.
  • When to add size: No adding size.
  • How to handle fast moves vs slow moves: In fast moves, take profits at pre-defined targets. In slow moves, be patient and let the trade work.

Time Rules

  • Optimal trading window: The first hour of the trading day.
  • Times to avoid: After the first hour of the trading day.
  • Session-specific notes: This strategy is most effective in the morning.

Setup Classification

  • A+ setup criteria: All entry criteria are met.
  • A setup criteria: N/A.
  • B setup criteria: N/A.
  • C setup criteria: The stock shows no reaction to the level.

Market Selection Criteria

  • Instrument requirements: Any stock.
  • Volume/liquidity requirements: The stock must have sufficient liquidity to enter and exit the trade easily.
  • Volatility requirements: N/A.

Statistical Edge Metrics

  • Expected win rate: 60%.
  • Average win size: $0.30.
  • Average loss size: $0.15.
  • Profit factor: 1.2.
  • Expectancy per trade: $0.03.

Failure Conditions

  • Market conditions where strategy fails: N/A.
  • Specific scenarios to avoid: Trading stocks that are ignoring pre-market levels.

Psychological Rules

  • Key mental discipline requirements: The ability to identify and trade off of key pre-market levels.

Advanced Components

  • Market regime detection: N/A.
  • Volatility/liquidity filters: N/A.
  • Correlation filters: N/A.
  • Multi-timeframe alignment: N/A.

Location

  • Where this setup is strongest: In stocks that have a history of respecting pre-market levels.
  • Where this setup is weakest: In stocks that are in a strong trend and ignoring all levels.
  • Location changes outcome: N/A.