Strategy #384
High Volume Node Support/Resistance
Entry Logic
- Entry is a long position when the price pulls back to a high-volume node (HVN) and finds support.
- Confirmation is a bullish pin bar or engulfing candle.
- Timeframe is the 30-minute chart.
- Location is at the HVN.
- Market is in an uptrend.
Exit Logic
- Profit target is the next resistance level.
- Do not scale out.
- Trail the stop loss below the low of the entry candle.
- Exit if the price closes below the HVN.
- Exit on a bearish reversal pattern.
- Exit if the price does not move up within 4 bars.
- Exit if buying momentum stalls.
Stop Loss Structure
- Hard stop is placed below the low of the entry candle.
- Soft stop is a close below the HVN.
- Maximum dollar loss is $250 per trade.
- Maximum percent loss is 2.5% of the account.
- Structural stop is below the HVN.
Risk Management Framework
- Risk 2% of the account per trade.
- Daily loss limit is 6% of the account.
- Weekly loss limit is 12% of the account.
- Maximum drawdown is 30%.
- Risk-reward ratio must be at least 1:1.5.
Position Sizing Model
- Use a fixed fractional position sizing model.
- No volatility adjustment.
- Full size for all setups.
- Do not scale in or out.
Trade Filtering
- Avoid trading in downtrends.
- Only trade when there is a clear HVN.
- Trade only major stock indices.
- Avoid trading during news events.
- Do not trade in choppy markets.
Context Framework
- Trend is up.
- Price is above VWAP.
- Price is above the 50 EMA.
- Location is at the HVN.
- The higher timeframe chart (daily) shows a clear uptrend.
Trade Management Rules
- Move stop to breakeven when the price reaches a 1:1 risk-reward ratio.
- Do not scale out.
- Do not add to the position.
- Let the trade run if buying momentum is strong.
Time Rules
- Optimal trading window is from 10:00 AM to 2:00 PM EST.
- Avoid trading in the last hour of the session.
- The strategy works best on trending days.
Setup Classification
- A+ setup: Pullback to a major HVN in a strong uptrend.
- A setup: Pullback to a minor HVN in a moderate uptrend.
- B setup: Pullback with low volume.
- C setup: No clear HVN.
Market Selection Criteria
- Trade SPY, QQQ, and IWM.
- High volume is required.
- Moderate volatility is preferred.
Statistical Edge Metrics
- Expected win rate is 65%.
- Average win is 1.8R.
- Average loss is 1R.
- Profit factor is 1.17.
- Expectancy per trade is 0.17R.
Failure Conditions
- The strategy fails if the HVN does not hold as support.
- Avoid trading when there is a strong bearish sentiment in the market.
Psychological Rules
- Be patient and wait for the price to test the HVN.
- Trust the HVN as a support level.
Advanced Components
- Use a volume profile to identify the HVN.
- Use a trend filter to confirm the uptrend.
- Do not trade correlated indices in the same direction.
- The daily chart must confirm the uptrend.
Location
- Strongest in a clear uptrend.
- Weakest in a downtrend or a range-bound market.
- The location of the HVN within the trend is important.