Strategy #442
RSI Trend Range Trade (40-80 / 20-60)
Entry Logic
- Exact Entry Trigger: In an uptrend, enter long when RSI dips to the 40-50 zone and turns up. In a downtrend, enter short when RSI rallies to the 50-60 zone and turns down.
- Confirmation: A bullish/bearish candle close is required for entry.
- Timeframe: 15-minute, 60-minute.
- Location: Near a key moving average like the 20 or 50 EMA.
- Market Condition: Established trend.
Exit Logic
- Profit Targets: Target the prior swing high for longs, or swing low for shorts.
- Trailing Stop: Trail the stop below the 20-period EMA for longs.
- Opposite Signal: Exit when RSI crosses the 70 level for longs, or 30 for shorts.
Stop Loss Structure
- Hard Stop: Place stop 1 ATR below the entry candle low.
Risk Management Framework
- Risk Per Trade: 1% of account capital.
- R:R Requirement: Minimum 2:1.
Position Sizing Model
- Sizing Approach: Fixed fractional.
Trade Filtering
- Market Conditions to Avoid: Ranging markets.
Context Framework
- Trend Direction: Only trade in the direction of the established trend.
Trade Management Rules
- Breakeven: Move stop to breakeven after price moves 1R in profit.
Time Rules
- Optimal Window: Mid-morning to late afternoon.
Setup Classification
- A+ Setup: Entry aligns with a pullback to the 50-period EMA on the daily chart.
Market Selection Criteria
- Instruments: Trend-following stocks and indices.
Statistical Edge Metrics
- Win Rate: 60-70%.
- Profit Factor: 1.8.
- Expectancy: 0.5R.
Failure Conditions
- Strategy Fails: When the trend reverses.
Psychological Rules
- Discipline: Patience to wait for the pullback to the correct RSI zone.
Advanced Components
- MTF Alignment: The daily and weekly charts must show a clear trend.
Location
- Strongest: As a continuation trade within a strong, established trend.