Strategy #448
CCI Zero Line Cross
Entry Logic
- Exact Entry Trigger: Enter long when the CCI crosses above the zero line. Enter short when the CCI crosses below the zero line.
- Confirmation: A strong candle close in the direction of the cross.
- Timeframe: 60-minute, Daily.
- Market Condition: Start of a new trend.
Exit Logic
- Profit Targets: Exit when the CCI crosses back over the zero line.
Stop Loss Structure
- Hard Stop: Place stop 2 ATR below the entry price.
Risk Management Framework
- Risk Per Trade: 1.5% of account capital.
Position Sizing Model
- Sizing Approach: Volatility-based sizing.
Trade Filtering
- Market Conditions to Avoid: Ranging markets.
Context Framework
- Trend Direction: The zero line cross signals the new trend direction.
Trade Management Rules
- Add Size: Add to the position on pullbacks to the 20-period EMA.
Time Rules
- Session Notes: This is a swing trading strategy.
Setup Classification
- A+ Setup: The cross is accompanied by a breakout on high volume.
Market Selection Criteria
- Instruments: Commodities and futures contracts.
Statistical Edge Metrics
- Win Rate: 40-50%.
- Profit Factor: 2.0.
- Expectancy: 0.6R.
Failure Conditions
- Strategy Fails: In choppy markets with frequent whipsaws around the zero line.
Psychological Rules
- Discipline: Hold trades to capture the majority of the trend.
Advanced Components
- MTF Alignment: The weekly chart should confirm the trend direction.
Location
- Strongest: At the beginning of a new, sustained trend.