Ch. 12Strategy #448

Strategy #448

CCI Zero Line Cross

Entry Logic

  • Exact Entry Trigger: Enter long when the CCI crosses above the zero line. Enter short when the CCI crosses below the zero line.
  • Confirmation: A strong candle close in the direction of the cross.
  • Timeframe: 60-minute, Daily.
  • Market Condition: Start of a new trend.

Exit Logic

  • Profit Targets: Exit when the CCI crosses back over the zero line.

Stop Loss Structure

  • Hard Stop: Place stop 2 ATR below the entry price.

Risk Management Framework

  • Risk Per Trade: 1.5% of account capital.

Position Sizing Model

  • Sizing Approach: Volatility-based sizing.

Trade Filtering

  • Market Conditions to Avoid: Ranging markets.

Context Framework

  • Trend Direction: The zero line cross signals the new trend direction.

Trade Management Rules

  • Add Size: Add to the position on pullbacks to the 20-period EMA.

Time Rules

  • Session Notes: This is a swing trading strategy.

Setup Classification

  • A+ Setup: The cross is accompanied by a breakout on high volume.

Market Selection Criteria

  • Instruments: Commodities and futures contracts.

Statistical Edge Metrics

  • Win Rate: 40-50%.
  • Profit Factor: 2.0.
  • Expectancy: 0.6R.

Failure Conditions

  • Strategy Fails: In choppy markets with frequent whipsaws around the zero line.

Psychological Rules

  • Discipline: Hold trades to capture the majority of the trend.

Advanced Components

  • MTF Alignment: The weekly chart should confirm the trend direction.

Location

  • Strongest: At the beginning of a new, sustained trend.