Strategy #473
Schaff Trend Cycle Trade
Entry Logic
- Exact Entry Trigger: Enter long when the Schaff Trend Cycle (STC) indicator turns up from the 25 level. Enter short when it turns down from the 75 level.
- Confirmation: A strong candle close in the direction of the turn.
- Timeframe: 15-minute, 60-minute.
- Market Condition: Trending.
Exit Logic
- Profit Targets: Exit when the STC reaches the opposite extreme level (75 for longs, 25 for shorts).
Stop Loss Structure
- Hard Stop: Place stop below the most recent swing low.
Risk Management Framework
- Risk Per Trade: 1% of account capital.
- R:R Requirement: Minimum 2:1.
Position Sizing Model
- Sizing Approach: Fixed fractional.
Trade Filtering
- Market Conditions to Avoid: Ranging markets.
Context Framework
- Trend Direction: Only take signals in the direction of the higher timeframe trend.
Trade Management Rules
- Take Profits: The indicator is designed to identify cyclical moves within a trend.
Time Rules
- Optimal Window: During active trending periods.
Setup Classification
- A+ Setup: The STC signal aligns with a pullback to a key moving average.
Market Selection Criteria
- Instruments: Forex pairs.
Statistical Edge Metrics
- Win Rate: 60-70%.
- Profit Factor: 1.6.
- Expectancy: 0.3R.
Failure Conditions
- Strategy Fails: In choppy, non-trending markets.
Psychological Rules
- Discipline: Avoid taking signals that go against the primary trend.
Advanced Components
- Filters: Use a 200-period EMA to define the primary trend.
Location
- Strongest: As a pullback entry within a smoothly trending market.