Strategy #595
Fibonacci Harmonic Convergence
Entry Logic
- Exact Entry Trigger: A harmonic pattern (like a Gartley or Bat) completes at a Fibonacci retracement or extension level.
- Confirmation: A reversal candle in the potential reversal zone (PRZ) of the harmonic pattern.
- Timeframe: Any.
- Location Context: The PRZ is a confluence of Fibonacci levels.
- Market Condition: Any.
Exit Logic
- Profit Target(s): The A and C points of the harmonic pattern.
- Scaling Out: Scale out at each target.
- Trailing Stop: A moving average.
- Exit on Signal Failure: A close beyond the PRZ.
- Exit on Opposite Signal: A reversal signal.
- Exit on Time Expiration: None.
- Exit on Momentum Loss: Divergence.
Stop Loss Structure
- Hard Stop: Beyond the PRZ.
- Soft Stop: A close beyond the PRZ.
- Maximum Dollar Loss: Varies.
- Maximum Percent Loss: Varies.
- Structural Stop: Behind a structural level.
Risk Management Framework
- Risk Per Trade: Varies.
- Maximum Daily Loss Limit: Varies.
- Maximum Weekly Loss Limit: Varies.
- Maximum Drawdown: Varies.
- Risk-Reward Ratio: Minimum 1:2.
Position Sizing Model
- Sizing Approach: Varies.
- Volatility-Based Adjustment: Yes.
- Conviction-Based Sizing: Yes.
- Scaling In: No.
- Scaling Out: Yes.
Trade Filtering
- Market Conditions to Avoid: None.
- Specific Setups Required: A valid harmonic pattern.
- Instrument Requirements: Any.
- Time of Day Restrictions: None.
- Chop/News Avoidance: Be aware of news.
Context Framework
- Trend Direction: Varies.
- VWAP Relationship: Varies.
- Moving Average Relationship: Varies.
- Range Location: Can be used in ranges.
- Higher Timeframe Alignment: Recommended.
Trade Management Rules
- Breakeven: After 1R.
- Scale Out: At targets.
- Add Size: No.
- Fast vs. Slow Moves: Adjust accordingly.
Time Rules
- Optimal Trading Window: Any.
- Times to Avoid: None.
- Session-Specific Notes: None.
Setup Classification
- A+ Setup: A perfect harmonic pattern with strong confirmation in the PRZ.
- A Setup: A good harmonic pattern with decent confirmation.
- B Setup: An imperfect harmonic pattern.
- C Setup: An invalid harmonic pattern.
Market Selection Criteria
- Instrument Requirements: Any.
- Volume/Liquidity: Good.
- Volatility: Moderate.
Statistical Edge Metrics
- Expected Win Rate: 60-70%
- Average Win: 2R
- Average Loss: 1R
- Profit Factor: 1.2-1.4
- Expectancy Per Trade: +0.2-0.4R
Failure Conditions
- Market Conditions: A strong trend that invalidates the pattern.
- Specific Scenarios: A news event.
Psychological Rules
- Mental Discipline: The ability to identify and trade complex patterns.
Advanced Components
- Market Regime Detection: None.
- Volatility/Liquidity Filters: None.
- Correlation Filters: None.
- Multi-Timeframe Alignment: Recommended.
Location
- Where Strongest: At major market turning points.
- Where Weakest: In a strong, one-directional trend.