Strategy #884
Weekly Pivot + Daily Trend + Intraday Scalp
Entry Logic
- Entry trigger: 1-minute chart shows a micro-breakout in the direction of the daily trend.
- Confirmation: The daily chart is in an uptrend and price is trading above the weekly pivot point.
- Timeframe: Weekly for pivot, daily for trend, 1-minute for entry.
- Location: Entry taken near the weekly pivot point.
- Market condition: Trending market that is respecting pivot levels.
Exit Logic
- Profit target: 15-25 cents.
- Scaling out: Not used for scalping.
- Trailing stop: 7-cent trailing stop.
- Signal failure: Exit if the 1-minute chart shows an immediate reversal.
- Opposite signal: Exit on a strong opposite move on the 1-minute chart.
- Time expiration: Exit if the trade is not profitable within 5 minutes.
- Momentum loss: Exit if volume dries up on the 1-minute chart.
Stop Loss Structure
- Hard stop: 7 cents below the entry price.
- Soft stop: A close below the 1-minute 20 EMA.
- Max dollar loss: $70 per trade.
- Max percent loss: 0.25% of account.
- Structural stop: Below the 1-minute consolidation.
Risk Management Framework
- Risk per trade: 0.25% of account.
- Daily limit: 6 losing trades.
- Weekly limit: 3% drawdown.
- Max drawdown: 10%.
- R:R requirement: Minimum 2:1.
Position Sizing Model
- Sizing approach: Fixed share size, e.g., 1000 shares.
- Volatility adjustment: Not used for scalping.
- Conviction sizing: Not used for scalping.
- Scaling in: Not used for scalping.
- Scaling out: Not used for scalping.
Trade Filtering
- Market conditions: Avoid choppy markets.
- Setups: Only take trades in the direction of the daily trend and above the weekly pivot.
- Instruments: High-volume, tight-spread stocks.
- Time restrictions: First 2 hours of the trading day.
- Chop/news avoidance: Avoid trading during news events.
Context Framework
- Trend direction: Determined by the daily chart.
- VWAP relationship: Price should be above VWAP on the 1-minute chart.
- MA relationship: 1-minute MAs should be aligned with the trend.
- Range location: Entry taken on a pullback to the weekly pivot.
- Higher TF alignment: Daily and weekly charts should be aligned.
Trade Management Rules
- Breakeven: Not used for scalping.
- Scale out: Not used for scalping.
- Add size: Not used for scalping.
- Fast vs slow moves: Take profits quickly on fast moves.
Time Rules
- Optimal window: 9:30 AM - 11:30 AM EST.
- Times to avoid: After the first 2 hours of trading.
- Session notes: High volume in the morning provides the best opportunities.
Setup Classification
- A+ setup: Clean daily trend, price at weekly pivot, strong 1-minute entry.
- A setup: Good daily trend, but price is slightly away from the pivot.
- B setup: Daily trend is weak.
- C setup: No clear daily trend.
Market Selection Criteria
- Instruments: BAC, C, JPM.
- Volume: Minimum 5 million shares traded daily.
- Volatility: High intraday volatility.
Statistical Edge Metrics
- Win rate: 65%.
- Avg win: 20 cents.
- Avg loss: 7 cents.
- Profit factor: 1.85.
- Expectancy: 8.85 cents per share.
Failure Conditions
- Strategy fails when the daily trend breaks down.
- Avoid using this strategy if price is far from the weekly pivot.
Psychological Rules
- Quick decision-making is essential for scalping.
- Discipline is needed to take small profits and cut losses quickly.
Advanced Components
- Regime detection: Not applicable for this strategy.
- Filters: Only trade stocks with a spread of 1 cent or less.
- Correlation: Not a primary factor.
- MTF alignment: Daily and weekly charts should be aligned.
Location
- Strongest: At the weekly pivot point in a trending market.
- Weakest: Far from the weekly pivot.