Strategy #935
Gamma Exposure (GEX) Level Trade
Entry Logic
- Long entry: The market (SPX) is falling towards a major positive gamma exposure (GEX) level. This level should act as support, as dealers will be buying to hedge their positions. Enter long on a bullish reversal pattern at the GEX level.
- Short entry: The market is rallying towards a major negative GEX level. This level should act as resistance. Enter short on a bearish reversal pattern.
- Confirmation: A decrease in selling pressure as the market approaches the level.
- Timeframe: 1-hour chart.
- Location: At major GEX levels.
- Market Condition: Any.
Exit Logic
- Profit Target: The next major GEX level or the other side of the expected trading range.
- Scaling Out: Not recommended.
- Trailing Stop: Not recommended.
- Signal Failure: If the market closes decisively beyond the GEX level.
- Opposite Signal: Not applicable.
- Time Expiration: Exit by the end of the day.
- Momentum Loss: Not applicable.
Stop Loss Structure
- Hard Stop: A few points beyond the GEX level.
- Soft Stop: If the market is accepted beyond the GEX level.
- Max Dollar Loss: $200 per trade.
- Max Percent Loss: 1% of account.
- Structural Stop: Not applicable.
Risk Management Framework
- Risk Per Trade: 1% of account.
- Daily Limit: 2 losing trades.
- Weekly Limit: 5% drawdown.
- Max Drawdown: 10%.
- R:R Requirement: Varies, but should be at least 2:1.
Position Sizing Model
- Sizing Approach: Fixed fractional.
- Volatility Adjustment: Not a primary concern.
- Conviction Sizing: Not recommended.
- Scaling In: Not recommended.
- Scaling Out: Not recommended.
Trade Filtering
- Market Conditions: Only trade when there are clear, significant GEX levels.
- Setups: A clean test of a GEX level.
- Instruments: SPX, SPY.
- Time Restrictions: Any.
- Chop/News Avoidance: Be cautious around major news.
Context Framework
- Trend Direction: Not applicable.
- VWAP Relationship: Not a primary concern.
- MA Relationship: Not a primary concern.
- Range Location: The GEX levels often define the expected trading range for the day.
- Higher TF Alignment: Not required.
Trade Management Rules
- Breakeven: Move stop to breakeven after 1.5R of profit.
- Scale Out: Not recommended.
- Add Size: Not recommended.
- Fast vs Slow Moves: This is a mean-reversion trade.
Time Rules
- Optimal Window: Any.
- Times to Avoid: The open can be volatile.
- Session Notes: A strategy based on options market structure.
Setup Classification
- A+ Setup: A perfect test of a very large GEX level.
- A Setup: A good test of a GEX level.
- B Setup: A messy test or a minor GEX level.
- C Setup: No clear GEX levels.
Market Selection Criteria
- Instruments: SPX and SPY.
- Volume: High.
- Volatility: Any.
Statistical Edge Metrics
- Win Rate: 65%.
- Avg Win: 2R.
- Avg Loss: 1R.
- Profit Factor: 1.3.
- Expectancy: 0.3R per trade.
Failure Conditions
- Market Conditions: A strong, trending market that blows through the GEX levels.
- Specific Scenarios: A major news event that overrides the options market structure.
Psychological Rules
- Mental Discipline: Requires trust in the data and the ability to fade moves.
Advanced Components
- Regime Detection: Not needed.
- Filters: Use a service that provides GEX data.
- Correlation: Not a concern.
- MTF Alignment: Not required.
Location
- Strongest: In a range-bound or moderately trending market.
- Weakest: In a very strong, one-directional trend.