Ch. 30Strategy #946

Strategy #946

Portfolio of Strategies Approach

Entry Logic

  • Long entry: Instead of trading a single strategy, a portfolio of multiple, uncorrelated strategies is traded simultaneously. The entry signal for each strategy is generated by its own rules.
  • Short entry: Same as above.
  • Confirmation: Not applicable.
  • Timeframe: Any.
  • Location: Any.
  • Market Condition: Any.

Exit Logic

  • Profit Target: Each strategy has its own exit rules.
  • Scaling Out: Each strategy has its own exit rules.
  • Trailing Stop: Each strategy has its own exit rules.
  • Signal Failure: Each strategy has its own rules.
  • Opposite Signal: Each strategy has its own rules.
  • Time Expiration: Each strategy has its own rules.
  • Momentum Loss: Each strategy has its own rules.

Stop Loss Structure

  • Hard Stop: Each strategy has its own stop loss rules.
  • Soft Stop: Not applicable.
  • Max Dollar Loss: The risk is managed at the portfolio level.
  • Max Percent Loss: The risk is managed at the portfolio level.
  • Structural Stop: Each strategy has its own rules.

Risk Management Framework

  • Risk Per Trade: The risk is allocated across the portfolio of strategies.
  • Daily Limit: A portfolio-level daily loss limit.
  • Weekly Limit: A portfolio-level weekly loss limit.
  • Max Drawdown: A portfolio-level maximum drawdown limit.
  • R:R Requirement: Varies by strategy.

Position Sizing Model

  • Sizing Approach: The position size for each trade is determined by a portfolio-level risk management algorithm.
  • Volatility Adjustment: The position sizing can be adjusted for volatility.
  • Conviction Sizing: Not applicable.
  • Scaling In: Varies by strategy.
  • Scaling Out: Varies by strategy.

Trade Filtering

  • Market Conditions: Any.
  • Setups: Each strategy has its own setup criteria.
  • Instruments: A diverse range of instruments.
  • Time Restrictions: Any.
  • Chop/News Avoidance: Any.

Context Framework

  • Trend Direction: Varies by strategy.
  • VWAP Relationship: Varies by strategy.
  • MA Relationship: Varies by strategy.
  • Range Location: Varies by strategy.
  • Higher TF Alignment: Varies by strategy.

Trade Management Rules

  • Breakeven: Varies by strategy.
  • Scale Out: Varies by strategy.
  • Add Size: Varies by strategy.
  • Fast vs Slow Moves: Varies by strategy.

Time Rules

  • Optimal Window: Any.
  • Times to Avoid: Any.
  • Session Notes: A professional approach to trading that focuses on diversification.

Setup Classification

  • A+ Setup: Not applicable.
  • A Setup: Not applicable.
  • B Setup: Not applicable.
  • C Setup: Not applicable.

Market Selection Criteria

  • Instruments: A diverse basket of uncorrelated instruments.
  • Volume: High.
  • Volatility: Any.

Statistical Edge Metrics

  • Win Rate: The portfolio win rate is a blend of the individual strategy win rates.
  • Avg Win: Varies.
  • Avg Loss: Varies.
  • Profit Factor: The portfolio profit factor should be higher and more stable than any individual strategy.
  • Expectancy: The portfolio expectancy should be positive and stable.

Failure Conditions

  • Market Conditions: When all of the strategies in the portfolio fail at the same time.
  • Specific Scenarios: A market crash where all correlations go to 1.

Psychological Rules

  • Mental Discipline: Requires a focus on the overall portfolio performance, not individual trades.

Advanced Components

  • Regime Detection: The portfolio can include strategies designed for different regimes.
  • Filters: Varies by strategy.
  • Correlation: The key is to have a portfolio of uncorrelated strategies.
  • MTF Alignment: Varies by strategy.

Location

  • Strongest: In all market conditions, due to diversification.
  • Weakest: In a black swan event.