- Raoul Pal's Macro Masterclass: Deconstructing the Global Macro Investor Framework
This article explores Raoul Pal's approach to deconstructing the global macro investor framework.
macro trading·5 min read - Surviving and Thriving in Quad 4: A Case Study in Defensive Macro Trading
A historical case study of how Keith McCullough's process is applied during a Quad 4 regime (slowing growth and inflation), focusing on defensive positioning, capital preservation, and identifying shorting opportunities.
macro trading·5 min read - Global Macro Dominance: Applying the GIP Model to International Markets
An in-depth look at how the GIP model is applied to global markets, showing how to use it to identify opportunities in different countries, currencies, and asset classes.
macro trading·5 min read - The 7 C’s of Commodities: Peter Borish’s Inflation Barometer
A comprehensive guide to Peter Borish’s “7 C’s of Commodities” and how he uses this basket of goods as a leading indicator for inflation and major shifts in the stock market.
macro trading·5 min read - From the Fed to Tudor: The Evolution of Peter Borish’s Macro-Trading Style
A look at how Peter Borish’s career path, from his time at the Federal Reserve to his partnership with Paul Tudor Jones, shaped his unique global macro trading style.
macro trading·5 min read - The Platt Playbook: A Masterclass in Global Macro Trading
An in-depth analysis of Michael Platt's global macro trading strategies, revealing how he combines a top-down view with a granular focus on relative value and interest rate movements.
macro trading·5 min read - Trading the Titans: A Kathy Lien Guide to Central Bank Decisions
An exploration of Kathy Lien's three-pronged approach to trading central bank rate decisions, offering strategies for proactive, reactive, and risk-averse traders.
macro trading·5 min read - Stage 3 Distribution: Recognizing the Warning Signs of a Topping Stock
Stage 3 distribution is the treacherous phase where a stock's uptrend stalls and reverses, and learning to spot the warning signs is important for protecting profits.
macro trading·5 min read - The CPI Day Minefield: 10 Common Mistakes and How to Sidestep Them
># The CPI Day Minefield: 10 Common Mistakes and How to Sidestep Them 1. Setup Definition and Market Context Trading on Consumer Price Index (CPI) day can be incredibly lucrative, but...
macro trading·5 min read - Trading the Divergence: A Core vs. Headline CPI Strategy for NQ
># Trading the Divergence: A Core vs. Headline CPI Strategy for NQ 1. Setup Definition and Market Context This article details a sophisticated strategy for trading the Nasdaq-100 (NQ) futures by...
macro trading·4 min read - Anatomy of a Trade: A Hypothetical NQ Fade on a Hot CPI Number
># Anatomy of a Trade: A Hypothetical NQ Fade on a Hot CPI Number 1. Setup Definition and Market Context This article provides a detailed, step-by-step walkthrough of a hypothetical trade...
macro trading·4 min read - Fort Knox Your Capital: An Unbreakable Risk Control Framework for CPI Day
># Fort Knox Your Capital: An Unbreakable Risk Control Framework for CPI Day 1. Setup Definition and Market Context Consumer Price Index (CPI) day is synonymous with volatility, and while volatility...
macro trading·5 min read - A GDP Release Trading Strategy: Capitalizing on Market Reactions to Economic Growth Data
The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is the broadest measure of a country's economic health, representing the total value of all goods and services produced over a specific time period. As such, the GDP r
macro trading·6 min read - Big Tech and Big News: A Strategy for Trading AAPL and Other Tech Giants on CPI and FOMC Days
Trading large-cap technology stocks like Apple (AAPL) on days with major economic news releases, such as the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announcements, presents
macro trading·1 min read - ECB Pre-Announcement Drift Strategy #7: A Deep Dive
Learn a specific intraday strategy for trading the EUR/USD pair in the 24 hours leading up to an ECB announcement. This article covers entry, exit, and risk management rules for article #7.
macro trading·3 min read - ECB Pre-Announcement Drift Strategy #2: A Deep Dive
Learn a specific intraday strategy for trading the EUR/USD pair in the 24 hours leading up to an ECB announcement. This article covers entry, exit, and risk management rules for article #2.
macro trading·3 min read - ECB Pre-Announcement Drift Strategy #6: A Deep Dive
Learn a specific intraday strategy for trading the EUR/USD pair in the 24 hours leading up to an ECB announcement. This article covers entry, exit, and risk management rules for article #6.
macro trading·3 min read - ECB Pre-Announcement Drift Strategy #10: A Deep Dive
Learn a specific intraday strategy for trading the EUR/USD pair in the 24 hours leading up to an ECB announcement. This article covers entry, exit, and risk management rules for article #10.
macro trading·3 min read - ECB Pre-Announcement Drift Strategy #4: A Deep Dive
Learn a specific intraday strategy for trading the EUR/USD pair in the 24 hours leading up to an ECB announcement. This article covers entry, exit, and risk management rules for article #4.
macro trading·3 min read - ECB Pre-Announcement Drift Strategy #3: A Deep Dive
Learn a specific intraday strategy for trading the EUR/USD pair in the 24 hours leading up to an ECB announcement. This article covers entry, exit, and risk management rules for article #3.
macro trading·3 min read - ECB Pre-Announcement Drift Strategy #9: A Deep Dive
Learn a specific intraday strategy for trading the EUR/USD pair in the 24 hours leading up to an ECB announcement. This article covers entry, exit, and risk management rules for article #9.
macro trading·3 min read - ECB Pre-Announcement Drift Strategy #1: A Deep Dive
Learn a specific intraday strategy for trading the EUR/USD pair in the 24 hours leading up to an ECB announcement. This article covers entry, exit, and risk management rules for article #1.
macro trading·3 min read - ECB Pre-Announcement Drift Strategy #5: A Deep Dive
Learn a specific intraday strategy for trading the EUR/USD pair in the 24 hours leading up to an ECB announcement. This article covers entry, exit, and risk management rules for article #5.
macro trading·3 min read - ECB Pre-Announcement Drift Strategy #8: A Deep Dive
Learn a specific intraday strategy for trading the EUR/USD pair in the 24 hours leading up to an ECB announcement. This article covers entry, exit, and risk management rules for article #8.
macro trading·3 min read - Trading the Dot Plot: A ZN Strategy for FOMC Projection Releases
This intraday setup is specifically designed to trade the market's reaction to the Federal Reserve's Summary of Economic Projections (SEP), colloquially known as the "dot plot." This report, released
macro trading·5 min read - Dunning-Kruger and System Hopping: The Psychological Loop of Failed Strategy Implementation
The Dunning-Kruger Effect is a cognitive bias where individuals with limited knowledge or skill in a domain overestimate their competence. In trading, this manifests as a dangerous mismatch between confidence and actual ability, often leading to premature system hopping and chronic underperformance. Traders with insufficient experience may believe they have...
macro trading·7 min read - The Business Activity Index: A Magnifying Glass on the Services Economy
While the headline ISM Services PMI provides a broad overview of the services sector, its sub-indexes offer a more granular view of the underlying dynamics. For traders looking to gain a deeper understanding of the health of the consumer, the...
macro trading·7 min read - The Anatomy of an Economic Surprise
In the world of high-frequency trading (HFT), speed is paramount. But speed without a sound strategy is just a quick way to lose money. One of the most fertile grounds for HFT strategies is the release of major economic data,...
macro trading·7 min read - The Primacy of Services in the Modern Economy
For decades, the ISM Manufacturing PMI was the undisputed king of economic indicators for equity traders. It was the first major piece of economic data released each month and provided a reliable read on the health of the U.S. economy....
macro trading·7 min read - The ISM Prices Paid Component: A Forward-Looking Inflation Gauge
Inflation is a perennial concern for equity investors. Rising inflation erodes the real value of future earnings and can lead to higher interest rates, which in turn can compress equity valuations. While traditional inflation measures like the Consumer Price Index...
macro trading·7 min read