Strategy #286
Spoofing Detection Scalp
Entry Logic
- Exact entry trigger: A large order is placed on the DOM, causing the price to move away from it, and then the order is quickly pulled.
- Confirmation requirements: The price starts to reverse and move back towards the original price level.
- Timeframe required: DOM and time and sales.
- Location context: N/A.
- Market condition requirement: A volatile market.
Exit Logic
- Profit target(s): 10-15 cents in the direction of the reversal.
- Scaling out rules: No scaling out.
- Trailing stop rules: No trailing stop.
- Exit on signal failure: If the price does not reverse, exit the trade.
- Exit on opposite signal: If the large order reappears, exit the trade.
- Exit on time expiration: Exit the trade after 5 minutes, regardless of the outcome.
- Exit on momentum loss: If the volume dries up, exit the trade.
Stop Loss Structure
- Hard stop location: 5 cents against the direction of the reversal.
- Soft stop rules: None.
- Maximum dollar loss per trade: $50.
- Maximum percent loss per trade: 0.5% of the account.
- Structural stop placement: N/A.
Risk Management Framework
- Risk per trade: 0.25% of the account.
- Maximum daily loss limit: 3 consecutive losing trades.
- Maximum weekly loss limit: 5% of the account.
- Maximum drawdown allowed: 10% of the account.
- Risk-reward ratio requirement: 2:1.
Position Sizing Model
- Recommended sizing approach: Fixed share size.
- Volatility-based adjustment: N/A.
- Conviction-based sizing (A+/A/B setup): N/A.
- Scaling in rules: No scaling in.
- Scaling out rules: No scaling out.
Trade Filtering
- Market conditions to avoid: A slow or illiquid market.
- Specific setups required: Clear spoofing on the DOM.
- Stock/instrument requirements: High-volume stocks.
- Time of day restrictions: N/A.
- Chop/news avoidance rules: Avoid trading around major news events.
Context Framework
- Trend direction assessment: N/A.
- VWAP relationship: N/A.
- Moving average relationship: N/A.
- Range location: N/A.
- Higher timeframe alignment: N/A.
Trade Management Rules
- When to move stop to breakeven: After the price has moved 10 cents in your favor.
- When to scale out: No scaling out.
- When to add size: No adding size.
- How to handle fast moves vs slow moves: In fast moves, take profits quickly. In slow moves, be patient and let the trade work.
Time Rules
- Optimal trading window: N/A.
- Times to avoid: N/A.
- Session-specific notes: This strategy can be used at any time of the day.
Setup Classification
- A+ setup criteria: All entry criteria are met.
- A setup criteria: N/A.
- B setup criteria: N/A.
- C setup criteria: The spoofing is not clear.
Market Selection Criteria
- Instrument requirements: High-volume stocks.
- Volume/liquidity requirements: The stock must have sufficient liquidity to enter and exit the trade easily.
- Volatility requirements: N/A.
Statistical Edge Metrics
- Expected win rate: 70%.
- Average win size: $0.15.
- Average loss size: $0.05.
- Profit factor: 2.1.
- Expectancy per trade: $0.07.
Failure Conditions
- Market conditions where strategy fails: A slow or illiquid market.
- Specific scenarios to avoid: Trading into a legitimate large order.
Psychological Rules
- Key mental discipline requirements: The ability to identify and act on spoofing orders.
Advanced Components
- Market regime detection: N/A.
- Volatility/liquidity filters: N/A.
- Correlation filters: N/A.
- Multi-timeframe alignment: N/A.
Location
- Where this setup is strongest: In volatile markets.
- Where this setup is weakest: In slow markets.
- Location changes outcome: N/A.