Strategy #446
Stochastic Cross in Extreme Zone
Entry Logic
- Exact Entry Trigger: Enter long when %K crosses above %D in the oversold zone (below 20). Enter short when %K crosses below %D in the overbought zone (above 80).
- Confirmation: Wait for the stochastic lines to exit the extreme zone.
- Timeframe: 5-minute, 15-minute.
- Market Condition: Ranging.
Exit Logic
- Profit Targets: Target the 50 level on the stochastic indicator, or the other extreme zone.
Stop Loss Structure
- Hard Stop: Place stop beyond the recent price extreme.
Risk Management Framework
- Risk Per Trade: 0.5% of account capital.
- R:R Requirement: Minimum 1.5:1.
Position Sizing Model
- Sizing Approach: Fixed fractional.
Trade Filtering
- Market Conditions to Avoid: Strong trending markets.
Context Framework
- Range Location: Longs at the bottom of the range, shorts at the top.
Trade Management Rules
- Breakeven: Move stop to breakeven after a 1R move.
Time Rules
- Optimal Window: During periods of low volatility and clear range-bound action.
Setup Classification
- A+ Setup: The cross occurs at a well-defined support or resistance level.
Market Selection Criteria
- Instruments: Range-bound stocks and forex pairs.
Statistical Edge Metrics
- Win Rate: 60-70%.
- Profit Factor: 1.4.
- Expectancy: 0.2R.
Failure Conditions
- Strategy Fails: When the market breaks out of its range.
Psychological Rules
- Discipline: Trust the extreme readings and avoid fading strong trends.
Advanced Components
- Filters: Use Bollinger Bands to confirm the range.
Location
- Strongest: In a sideways market with clear boundaries.