Strategy #445
MACD Signal Line Cross
Entry Logic
- Exact Entry Trigger: Enter long when the MACD line crosses above the signal line. Enter short when the MACD line crosses below the signal line.
- Confirmation: The cross should happen on the correct side of the zero line (e.g., long cross below zero is a stronger signal).
- Timeframe: 15-minute, 60-minute.
- Market Condition: Trending.
Exit Logic
- Profit Targets: Exit on the opposite signal line cross.
Stop Loss Structure
- Hard Stop: Place stop below the most recent swing low.
Risk Management Framework
- Risk Per Trade: 1% of account capital.
Position Sizing Model
- Sizing Approach: Fixed fractional.
Trade Filtering
- Market Conditions to Avoid: Ranging markets.
Context Framework
- Trend Direction: Only take crosses in the direction of the higher timeframe trend.
Trade Management Rules
- Breakeven: Move stop to breakeven after a 1R move.
Time Rules
- Optimal Window: Any time during the main session.
Setup Classification
- A+ Setup: A signal line cross that occurs as a pullback in a strong trend.
Market Selection Criteria
- Instruments: Any liquid instrument.
Statistical Edge Metrics
- Win Rate: 40-50%.
- Profit Factor: 1.7.
- Expectancy: 0.3R.
Failure Conditions
- Strategy Fails: In choppy markets with many false signals.
Psychological Rules
- Discipline: Avoid overtrading; focus on crosses that align with the broader market context.
Advanced Components
- Filters: Use an ADX filter to only trade in trending markets (ADX > 25).
Location
- Strongest: As a continuation signal in an established trend.