Strategy #465
Williams Fractals Breakout
Entry Logic
- Exact Entry Trigger: Enter long one tick above a validated up-fractal. Enter short one tick below a validated down-fractal.
- Confirmation: The fractal should be part of a larger trend structure.
- Timeframe: Any.
- Market Condition: Trending.
Exit Logic
- Profit Targets: Target the next fractal level.
- Opposite Signal: Exit on a validated fractal breakout in the opposite direction.
Stop Loss Structure
- Hard Stop: Place stop at the most recent opposing fractal.
Risk Management Framework
- Risk Per Trade: 1% of account capital.
Position Sizing Model
- Sizing Approach: Fixed fractional.
Trade Filtering
- Market Conditions to Avoid: Ranging markets with many overlapping fractals.
Context Framework
- Trend Direction: Only take fractal breakouts in the direction of the Alligator indicator.
Trade Management Rules
- Breakeven: Move stop to breakeven after a 1R move.
Time Rules
- Optimal Window: Any time.
Setup Classification
- A+ Setup: A fractal breakout that occurs when the Williams Alligator lines are wide open.
Market Selection Criteria
- Instruments: Any liquid instrument.
Statistical Edge Metrics
- Win Rate: 45-55%.
- Profit Factor: 1.7.
- Expectancy: 0.3R.
Failure Conditions
- Strategy Fails: In choppy markets.
Psychological Rules
- Discipline: Wait for the price to break the fractal level before entering.
Advanced Components
- Filters: Use the Alligator as a trend filter.
Location
- Strongest: As a continuation signal in a strong trend.