Strategy #872
Hourly Structure + 1-Min Scalp
Entry Logic
- Entry trigger: 1-minute chart shows a micro-breakout of a small consolidation.
- Confirmation: Hourly chart shows a clear support or resistance level.
- Timeframe: Hourly for structure, 1-minute for entry.
- Location: Entry taken near the hourly support or resistance level.
- Market condition: Ranging market on the hourly chart.
Exit Logic
- Profit target: 10-20 cents.
- Scaling out: Not used for scalping.
- Trailing stop: 5-cent trailing stop.
- Signal failure: Exit if the 1-minute chart shows an immediate reversal.
- Opposite signal: Exit on a strong opposite move on the 1-minute chart.
- Time expiration: Exit if the trade is not profitable within 5 minutes.
- Momentum loss: Exit if volume dries up on the 1-minute chart.
Stop Loss Structure
- Hard stop: 5 cents below the entry price.
- Soft stop: A close below the 1-minute 20 EMA.
- Max dollar loss: $50 per trade.
- Max percent loss: 0.25% of account.
- Structural stop: Below the 1-minute consolidation.
Risk Management Framework
- Risk per trade: 0.25% of account.
- Daily limit: 5 losing trades.
- Weekly limit: 3% drawdown.
- Max drawdown: 10%.
- R:R requirement: Minimum 2:1.
Position Sizing Model
- Sizing approach: Fixed share size, e.g., 1000 shares.
- Volatility adjustment: Not used for scalping.
- Conviction sizing: Not used for scalping.
- Scaling in: Not used for scalping.
- Scaling out: Not used for scalping.
Trade Filtering
- Market conditions: Avoid strong trending markets.
- Setups: Only take trades near clear hourly support or resistance.
- Instruments: High-volume, tight-spread stocks.
- Time restrictions: First hour of the trading day.
- Chop/news avoidance: Avoid trading during news events.
Context Framework
- Trend direction: Not a factor in this ranging strategy.
- VWAP relationship: Price can be above or below VWAP.
- MA relationship: Not a primary factor.
- Range location: Entry taken at the edge of the hourly range.
- Higher TF alignment: Not required for this strategy.
Trade Management Rules
- Breakeven: Not used for scalping.
- Scale out: Not used for scalping.
- Add size: Not used for scalping.
- Fast vs slow moves: Take profits quickly on fast moves.
Time Rules
- Optimal window: 9:30 AM - 10:30 AM EST.
- Times to avoid: After the first hour of trading.
- Session notes: High volume in the morning provides the best opportunities.
Setup Classification
- A+ setup: Clean hourly level, tight 1-minute consolidation, high volume.
- A setup: Clean hourly level, but 1-minute consolidation is less defined.
- B setup: Hourly level is not as clear.
- C setup: No clear hourly level.
Market Selection Criteria
- Instruments: AMD, NVDA, TSLA.
- Volume: Minimum 5 million shares traded daily.
- Volatility: High intraday volatility.
Statistical Edge Metrics
- Win rate: 65%.
- Avg win: 15 cents.
- Avg loss: 5 cents.
- Profit factor: 1.95.
- Expectancy: 6.75 cents per share.
Failure Conditions
- Strategy fails when the hourly range breaks down.
- Avoid using this strategy in a strong trending market.
Psychological Rules
- Quick decision-making is essential for scalping.
- Discipline is needed to take small profits and cut losses quickly.
Advanced Components
- Regime detection: Not applicable for this strategy.
- Filters: Only trade stocks with a spread of 1 cent or less.
- Correlation: Not a primary factor.
- MTF alignment: Not required.
Location
- Strongest: At well-defined hourly support and resistance levels.
- Weakest: In the middle of the hourly range.