Strategy #881
Higher Timeframe Order Block + Lower Timeframe Entry
Entry Logic
- Entry trigger: 5-minute chart shows a rejection of a higher timeframe order block.
- Confirmation: The higher timeframe (e.g., 4-hour) shows a clear order block.
- Timeframe: 4-hour for order block, 5-minute for entry.
- Location: Entry taken at the 4-hour order block.
- Market condition: Price is reacting to a key supply or demand zone.
Exit Logic
- Profit target: The next major support or resistance level on the 4-hour chart.
- Scaling out: Scale out 50% at 2R.
- Trailing stop: Trail stop below the 5-minute 20 EMA.
- Signal failure: Exit if the 4-hour order block is violated.
- Opposite signal: Exit on a reversal pattern on the 5-minute chart.
- Time expiration: Exit if the trade is not profitable within 2 hours.
- Momentum loss: Exit if volume dries up on the 5-minute chart.
Stop Loss Structure
- Hard stop: Above or below the 4-hour order block.
- Soft stop: A close beyond the order block.
- Max dollar loss: $150 per trade.
- Max percent loss: 1% of account.
- Structural stop: Above or below the most recent swing on the 5-minute chart.
Risk Management Framework
- Risk per trade: 1% of account.
- Daily limit: 3 losing trades.
- Weekly limit: 4% drawdown.
- Max drawdown: 12%.
- R:R requirement: Minimum 2.5:1.
Position Sizing Model
- Sizing approach: Fixed fractional, 1% of account per trade.
- Volatility adjustment: Adjust size based on the size of the order block.
- Conviction sizing: Not used in this strategy.
- Scaling in: Not used in this strategy.
- Scaling out: 50% at 2R.
Trade Filtering
- Market conditions: Avoid trading in the middle of a range.
- Setups: Only take trades at clear higher timeframe order blocks.
- Instruments: Forex pairs and stock indices.
- Time restrictions: Any time of day.
- Chop/news avoidance: Be aware of news events that could invalidate the order block.
Context Framework
- Trend direction: The higher timeframe trend should be considered.
- VWAP relationship: Not a primary factor.
- MA relationship: Not a primary factor.
- Range location: Entry is at a key supply or demand zone.
- Higher TF alignment: The daily chart should be aligned with the 4-hour chart.
Trade Management Rules
- Breakeven: Move stop to breakeven after a 1.5R move.
- Scale out: At 2R profit target.
- Add size: Not used in this strategy.
- Fast vs slow moves: Let fast moves run, take partial profits on slow moves.
Time Rules
- Optimal window: Any time of day.
- Times to avoid: Low-volume periods.
- Session notes: Order blocks can be respected at any time.
Setup Classification
- A+ setup: Fresh, untested order block, strong reaction on the 5-minute chart.
- A setup: Order block has been tested once, but still shows a reaction.
- B setup: Order block is old and has been tested multiple times.
- C setup: No clear order block.
Market Selection Criteria
- Instruments: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, SPX, NDX.
- Volume: High liquidity.
- Volatility: Moderate volatility.
Statistical Edge Metrics
- Win rate: 55%.
- Avg win: 3R.
- Avg loss: 1R.
- Profit factor: 1.65.
- Expectancy: 0.65R per trade.
Failure Conditions
- Strategy fails when the order block is not respected.
- Avoid taking trades at old, heavily tested order blocks.
Psychological Rules
- Patience is required to wait for price to reach the order block.
- Discipline is needed to take the trade even if it goes against the short-term momentum.
Advanced Components
- Regime detection: Use the daily chart to identify the market regime.
- Filters: Avoid taking trades if the order block is very large.
- Correlation: Check for correlation with other major pairs or indices.
- MTF alignment: Daily and 4-hour charts should be aligned.
Location
- Strongest: At fresh, untested order blocks.
- Weakest: At old, heavily tested order blocks.